Mathematical model
allows the success of publications — and perhaps scientists — to be forecasted. (Nature:News 3 Oct 2013)
“It sounds
like a science administrator’s dream — or a scientist's worst nightmare: a
formula that predicts how often research papers will be cited. But a team of
data scientists now says it could be possible. They report today that a simple
model allows reasonably accurate predictions of a paper’s future performance on
the basis of about five years of its citation history…….”
Some other
links which may be of interest:
Halt the avalanche of performance metrics:
Let's make science metrics more scientific
Metrics: Do metrics matter?
Are scientific reputations boosted artificially?
Metrics: A profusion of measures
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